Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.285149 0.338216 0.402143 0.485990 0.594839 0.733930 0.929459
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.235909 0.310488 0.414532 0.576524 0.835090 1.257634 2.066489
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.193509 0.274070 0.399190 0.622143 1.047153 1.926522 4.303587
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.160551 0.239632 0.372528 0.635535 1.217227 2.715155 8.623313
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.134897 0.209173 0.341531 0.625711 1.336244 3.567151 16.819148
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.120138 0.193147 0.330813 0.651530 1.564764 5.178167 44.227156
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.104732 0.172530 0.305412 0.633361 1.661925 6.577067 107.520282
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.094975 0.160439 0.294040 0.644846 1.871426 9.271842 491.052814
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.085603 0.147391 0.277465 0.636089 2.007352 12.232262 4451.490717
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.079506 0.139811 0.271241 0.654424 2.285049 18.411279 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.074952 0.134617 0.269307 0.685501 2.676519 30.759198 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070458 0.128841 0.264681 0.706504 3.062355 51.953193 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.066504 0.123799 0.261212 0.732311 3.556554 100.500371 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.062734 0.118666 0.256545 0.752896 4.089142 216.721913 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.059130 0.113427 0.250568 0.766507 4.631818 538.960389 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055445 0.107537 0.241664 0.764527 5.056915 1464.662817 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051661 0.100981 0.229720 0.744605 5.270301 3972.681304 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049595 0.098290 0.228531 0.774187 6.232022 253357.384436 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.046403 0.092515 0.217163 0.750215 6.409135 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.044395 0.089447 0.213543 0.764160 7.295615 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.042022 0.085232 0.205687 0.753012 7.748167 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.040539 0.083113 0.204123 0.775924 9.083998 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.039440 0.081857 0.205136 0.814956 11.209241 NaN NaN